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您的当前位置:Q345E方管公司 > Q345D方管动态 > 短期Q345D方管价格将维持高位震荡的走势

短期Q345D方管价格将维持高位震荡的走势

发布日期:2020/11/17 10:03:44 作者:http://greatamz.com 点击:

  11月,Q345D方管现货和期货价格经过持续上涨后,截止目前相继到了全年高点。今日,10月份多项经济数据火热出炉,与钢铁行业息息相关的规模以上工业增加值、全国固定资产投资、全国房地产开发投资等数据均出现持续稳定恢复,钢价能否继续保持上涨呢?

  SHUJUXIANSHI,10YUEFEN,QUANGUOGUIMOYISHANGGONGYEZENGJIAZHITONGBIZENGZHANG6.9%,ZENGSUYU9YUEFENCHIPING;HUANBIZENGZHANG0.78%。1-10YUEFEN,QUANGUOGUIMOYISHANGGONGYEZENGJIAZHITONGBIZENGZHANG1.8%,JIAO1-9YUEFENJIAKUAI0.6GEBAIFENDIAN。10YUEFEN,ZHUANGBEIZHIZAOYEZENGJIAZHITONGBIZENGZHANG10.8%,KUAIYUGUIMOYISHANGGONGYE3.9GEBAIFENDIAN。CONGCHANPINCHANLIANGKAN,XINNENGYUANQICHE,GONGYEJIQIREN,WAJUE、CHANTUYUNSHUJIXIE,WEIXINGJISUANJISHEBEI,JICHENGDIANLUCHANLIANGTONGBIFENBIEZENGZHANG94.1%、38.5%、30.2%、28.0%、20.4%。KEJIAN,GONGYEZENGJIAZHIJIXUBAOCHIJIAOKUAIDEZENGZHANG,QIZHONGYONGGANGLIANGJIAODADEZHUANGBEIZHIZAOYEDEZENGSUJIAOKUAI,ZHEIDUIYUQ345DFANGGUANXUQIUYOUJIAOHAODELADONGZUOYONG。

  1-10YUEFEN,QUANGUOGUDINGZICHANTOUZI(BUHANNONGHU)TONGBIZENGZHANG1.8%,BI1-9YUEFENJIAKUAI1.0GEBAIFENDIAN;10YUEFENHUANBIZENGZHANG3.22%。FENLINGYUKAN,JICHUSHESHITOUZITONGBIZENGZHANG0.7%,BI1-9YUEFENJIAKUAI0.5GEBAIFENDIAN;ZHIZAOYETOUZIXIAJIANG5.3%,JIANGFUBI1-9YUEFENSHOUZHAI1.2GEBAIFENDIAN;GONGYETOUZITONGBIXIAJIANG2.2%,JIANGFUBI1—9YUEFENSHOUZHAI1.1GEBAIFENDIAN。SUIRANZHIZAOYETOUZIHEGONGYETOUZIHAIWEIHUIFUZHENGZENGZHANG,DANZHENGTIYIRANBAOCHIWENDINGHUIFUZHONG。

  ZHANQ345DFANGGUANXIAOFEIHENDABIZHONGDEFANGDICHANXINGYE,KAIFATOUZI、ZHUZHAITOUZIHESHANGPINFANGXIAOSHOUEJUNBAOCHIZENGZHANG。1—10YUEFEN,QUANGUOFANGDICHANKAIFATOUZI116556YIYUAN,TONGBIZENGZHANG6.3%,ZENGSUBI1—9YUEFENTIGAO0.7GEBAIFENDIAN。QIZHONG,ZHUZHAITOUZI86298YIYUAN,ZENGZHANG7.0%,ZENGSUTIGAO0.9GEBAIFENDIAN。QUANGUOSHANGPINFANGXIAOSHOUMIANJI133294WANPINGFANGMI,TONGBICHIPING,1-9YUEFENWEIXIAJIANG1.8%;SHANGPINFANGXIAOSHOUE131665YIYUAN,ZENGZHANG5.8%,BI1-9YUEFENJIAKUAI2.1GEBAIFENDIAN。

  随着各项数据的稳步增长,Q345D方管需求也大幅上升,这从近期持续下降的Q345D方管社会库存中也间接反映出来。数据显示,11月13日,23个重点城市社会库存为1025.9万吨,较上周下降了74.3万吨,降幅为6.75%,较上周加快了1.24个百分点;并且目前已经出现了“五连降”,累计下降了349.8万吨,降幅达25.43%。但值得注意的是,目前的社会库存虽然出现了持续且较大幅度的下降,但是依然高出去年同期38.32%,因此整体的钢材社会库存压力依然较大。

  CHANLIANGFANGMIAN,JINTIAN****TONGJIJUHAIFABULE10YUEFENWOGUODECUGANGCHANLIANG。SHUJUXIANSHI,2020NIAN10YUEWOGUOCUGANGCHANLIANG9220WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG12.7%,1-10YUEFENCUGANGCHANLIANG87393WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG5.5%。2020NIAN10YUEWOGUOGANGCAICHANLIANG11848WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG14.2%,1-10YUEFENGANGCAICHANLIANG108328WANDUN,TONGBIZENGZHANG6.5%。MUQIANQ345DFANGGUANCHANLIANGYIRANBAOCHIJIAOKUAIDEZENGZHANG,DUIYUHOUQIGONGXUZAOCHENGLEYIDINGDEYALI。

  进入11月份以来,在高产量、高库存的情况下,钢材市场整体表现出“弱预期、强现实”的特征,房地产投资保持高位、基建投资提速和制造业高景气共同推动了钢材消费的超预期表现。短期内,投资仍是经济恢复的重要动力,随着商品房销售的再次加快和新开工的再度走强,房地产用钢需求仍有保障;基建投资继续发力,钢材需求的持续性较强;制造业生产保持高景气,用钢强度不减。总体来看,钢材的下游需求稳中偏强,随着淡季临近,钢材需求可能缓步回落。

  DUIYUHOUQIZOUSHI,HOUXURENGRANYAOGUANZHUKUCUNBIANHUAJIEZOU,RUGUOKUCUNJIXUDAFUXIAJIANG,DUANQIQ345DFANGGUANJIAGEJIANGWEICHIGAOWEIZHENDANGDEZOUSHI。DAN2020NIAN12YUEHE2021NIAN1YUEFEN,Q345DFANGGUANJIAGEJIANGYOUJIAODADEXIADIEFENGXIAN。YINCI,JIANYIDAJIAZHUJIANJIANGDIKUCUNSHUIPING,FANGKONGFENGXIAN。